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Fintech, the sector of the future?

MA themes

Global fintech funding rose to $111.8B in 2018, up 120 percent from $50.8B in 2017, fueled by mega M&A and buyout deals, according to the KPMG Pulse of Fintech report. The fintech market in most areas of the world remained relatively healthy and well-poised for growth, also in 2019. 

Deals in the second half of 2018 were topped by Blackstone's $17B investment in Refinitiv, the $3.5B acquisition of Blackhawk Network by Silver Lake and P2 Capital Partners, the $3.4B buyout of VeriFone by Francisco Partners, and the $2.2B acquisition of iZettle by PayPal. These deals followed on the $12.86B acquisition of WorldPay by Vantiv in H1'18.

PE activity deal volumeFintech deal volume declined markedly in the second half of 2018, but still reached 2,196 deals for the year, up from 2,165 in 2017.  Increasing geographic diversity of fintech VC funding continues to help drive deal volume, even as larger fintech hubs see more concentrated investment in larger deals.

PE 2017 annual deal flow

“The growing deal sizes, higher levels of M&A activity and the geographic spread of deals all highlight the increasing maturation of the fintech sector on a global scale,” said Ian Pollari, Global Co-Lead, KPMG Fintech. “Fintech start-ups in markets as diverse as Germany and Brazil are attracting larger and later stage rounds, while the more established fintech leaders in the US, UK and Asia are making their own investments and acquisitions in order to expand their product and geographic reach.”

PE 2017 annual deal flowMA outllook by activity

2018, a year of multiple record highs across fintech investment

Mega deals drove a record $111.8B global fintech investment in 2018, led by three $10B+ deals, as well as an additional 14 $1B+ M&A deals. To be more specific, 2018 was a year of multiple record highs across fintech investment, including VC, corporate VC, M&A, and PE.
Fintech investment in the Americas rose from $29B in 2017 to $54.5B in 2018. Deals volume also increased from 1,039 deals to 1,245. The US accounted for the bulk of this funding - $52.5B across 1,061 deals.
European fintech investment for 2018 increased sharply to $34.2B from $12.2B in 2017, thanks to massive M&A and buyout deals, including WorldPay ($12.8B), Nets ($5.5B), iZettle ($2.2B), Fidessa Group ($2.1B), and IRIS Software Group ($1.75B).
The total Asia Pacific fintech investment for 2018 of $22.7B, up from $12.5B in 2017, was dominated by Ant Financial's record-setting $14B deal in Q2'18, as fintech investment in the region slowed significantly in the second half of the year.
Cross-border M&A rose significantly in 2018, with approximately $53.5B invested across borders in 155 deals, up from $18.9B in 153 cross-border deals in 2017. The US drew $28B in cross-border M&A, while Europe attracted $21.6B.
Investment flowed at a significant pace into key subsectors and technologies - regtech investment surged to $3.7B in 2018 from $1.2B in 2017, while investment in blockchain remained strong at $4.5B in 2018, just off the $4.8B in 2017.

annual worldwide deal flow

US sees record fintech investment and deal volume

US fintech investment for 2018 more than doubled to $52.5B, from $24B in 2017, across a record 1,061 deals. While M&A and buyout activity accounted for the majority of this funding, US-based fintech VC funding also rose significantly, from $7B to $11.4B. The $17B Refinitiv deal dominated the $25.4B investment in Q4'18.PE ma activity

Canada and Brazil continue to expand fintech investment

Latin America was a strong target for fintech investors in 2018, with Brazil achieving a record high of $556M across 28 deals. Canada saw a record 119 fintech deals in 2018 - bringing in $1.18B of investment.

Europe sees record annual investment despite decline in Q3 and Q4'18
European fintech rose exponentially in 2018 to a record $34.2B raised across 536 deals, compared to $12.2B in 2017. Much of the 2018 funding occurred during the first half of the year, with total investment slumping to $4.3B in Q3'18, and to $1.3B in Q4'18 - an eight-quarter low.
The UK's $20.7B, up from $5.6B in 2017, accounted for the majority of fintech funding for the region - more than half of which came from the $12.8B WorldPay acquisition in the first half of the year. Q3 and Q4'18 investment dropping significantly, suggesting that fintech investors in the UK may have drawn back due to Brexit uncertainties.
Germany and France experienced a drop-off of fintech investment in 2018. In Germany, $1B was raised across 57 deals, compared to $1.7B across 88 deals in 2017, while France saw $294M raised on 34 deals in 2018 versus $733M on 50 deals a year earlier.
Asian fintechs attract $22.7B in funding
Fintech investment in Asia rose from $12.5B in 2017 to a record high $22.7B in 2018, while deals volume dropped marginally from 382 to 372. VC investment was particularly strong in the fintech space in Asia, accounting for $19.6B in investment.

China accounted for the lion's share of Asia fintech investment, with $18.2 billion in funding during 2018 across 83 deals, led by Ant Financial's $14B raise in Q2. India fintech funding declined year-over-year, although still reaching $1.7B across a record 115 deals, while investment and deal volume in Singapore grew for the fourth straight year, accounting for $347M across 61 deals. Australia saw $572M across 28 deals.

M&A Activity, a positive outlook

M&A( Mergers and acquisitions) activity in the Fintech sector experienced a cooldown in the second half of last year from its high of 189 transactions in 1H2018, and all-time high disclosed transaction value of almost $50 billion. Even though transaction volume in 2H2018 was 160, total disclosed transaction value was just shy of $13 billion largely because there were no box-office deals such as Blackrock’s $17 billion acquisition of Thomson Reuters in the first half of 2018. However, tax reform, a more relaxed US regulatory climate, and growing cash reserves fuel optimism among US dealmakers. While geo-political and economic issues appear to be affecting confidence, there is plenty of evidence that companies are prepared to take on big strategic deals when opportunities arise. Investor’s appetite for fintech firms remains undimmed with M&A hitting a record $112bn in the first three months of 2019, despite signs of a slowing global economy and the threat of a disorderly Brexit in the UK. Across the year the sector is forecast to hit record mergers and acquisitions volumes as well as the industry’s second-highest financing levels, despite the threat of a trade war between the US and China.

IT Spending, a new record

Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $3.79 trillion in 2019, an increase of 1.1 percent from 2018, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc.

The shift of enterprise IT spending from traditional (noncloud) offerings to new, cloud-based alternatives is continuing to drive growth in the enterprise software market. In 2019, the market is forecast to reach $427 billion, up 7.1 percent from $399 billion in 2018.

The largest cloud shift has so far occurred in application software. Gartner expects increased growth for the infrastructure software segment in the near-term, particularly in integration platform as a service (iPaaS) and application platform as a service (aPaaS).

The data center systems segment will experience the largest decline in 2019 with a decrease of 2.8 percent (see Table 1). This is mainly due to expected lower average selling prices (ASPs) in the server market driven by adjustments in the pattern of expected component costs.spending outlook

The 10 most valuable fintech companies in the world are mostly between six and 10 years old, all with hundreds of millions raised (if not $1 billion-plus) and multibillion-dollar valuations. Yet, at the moment, not one of those unicorn seems articularly close to an offeringIPO

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